CMHC forecasts a healthy housing market for 2012-13…. but fixed mortgage rates have started to climb.

CMHC issued a report that says the economy will expand at a moderate pace over the next few years, as reported in The Spectator.  The Bank of Canada should also keep it’s trend setting rate low until mid 2013.    This means Variable mortgage and secured lines of credit rates will remain low.

The report also says the average house price in Canada is expected to hit $368,900 this year.  But, a closer look at the Greater Toronto Area market shows that house prices are climbing much faster.   A lack of supply and a pent up demand, together with record low interest rates are fueling price increases.   Reports of homes being sold above asking are popping up outside of Toronto.. including Milton, Georgetown, Oakville, Burlington and Hamilton.

If you’re in the market for a home, my advice would be to not wait til the Spring market.  The market is now.  Experienced realtors are telling me they have priced a 5% increase in the first 2 months of 2012.  Waiting could cost homebuyers $18,000 or more.

FIXED MORTGAGE RATEShave started to climb.  Earlier this week we saw RBC and TD pull their special mortgage rate offers…   BIG SIX Banks don’t like to compete in the wholesale mortgage market with mortgage brokers… when these 2 banks realized no other BIG SIX bank was offering this rate, they quickly withdrew the offer…   read this article...  the BIG SIX banks are calling a truce?   What does that mean…?  Don’t you want your banks to compete?  And that last paragraph by BMO’s Frank Techar is priceless.. “We went to 2.99 per cent to draw attention to the benefits of having a mortgage with a maximum amortization of 25 years”.   This does make me a laugh a little… BMO’s NO FRILLS mortgage was a way to gain market share and entice borrowers into a restricted and closed mortgage product…  Mortgage Brokers already had access to this rate and a NO FRILLS product through another lender… but it’s not a great product and the restrictions are costly…Most brokers will not recommend or even offer this product to their clients.

The ripple effects of this ‘truce’ are that wholesale mortgage rates have started to climb… ING and National Bank have also increased their rates.  This could be temporary but if the Greeks get their act together and the U.S. economy starts to improve, we will see rate hikes….  My advice is get your mortgage preapproval now…. These are historical low interest rates…  I’m not sure they will be here for much longer.

 

Death, taxes and interest payments! Part 1 of 2.

Death and taxes… .. the only two things that are certain in life….you’ve heard this one before.   I think there is a third thing that can be just as stressful… ‘interest payments’…. (before this article becomes too depressing, I’m going to share some things that will help to reduce our interest costs and minimize our taxes).

Paying interest on your credit cards, loans, lines of credit or mortgage is something all of us will experience at some point in our lives or, for many of us, for most of our lives…   ‘Paying interest and taxes can be the death of us’.   That’s because taxes and interest payments account for as much as 67% of our gross incomes.  That’s right, 67%!!

Tax Freedom Day (the day in which Canada, as a whole, has earned enough income to pay all their taxes for the year) this yeas was June 6th.   Any income earned up to this point was paid over to the govt.  Any income after this date is paid to yourself.    It’s hard to know exactly how much tax you really pay given there are several hidden taxes such as alcohol, amusement, gasoline tax, property taxes, HST, etc.    That’s about 42% of your gross annual income going towards taxes.

Now let’s add in how much we pay towards carrying out debts.   There are different stats out there but from my experience, I would say that 25% of gross income goes towards paying all debts...

Add the two together and you get 67%.   67% of your gross income goes towards taxes and interest…  Okay, that’s the bad news.. and now for some positive news…. Here come the tax and interest tips….and maybe this will extend your life by making things a little less stressful.

TAX TIPS

Foreward   - I’m going to skip the usually RRSP recommendations…. anyone invested in the stock market over the past 10 years will know that there has been virtually 0% return during this time..  There may be a place for RRSPs but I’m just not a big fan of them…  Remember, RRSPs are not tax exempt like a Tax Free Savings Account.   Tax is still payable when you withdraw the investment.   ..The theory is that your investment can grow within the RRSP, tax-free, and then you can withdraw your investment at a later date and pay taxes only on the amounts you withdraw….

-In general, to reduce the amount of tax you pay, you must take advantage of tax-incentive programs or participate in tax-deductible investments..  One of the proven winners over the long and short term has been real estate.   We all know someone that made money by buying investing in property…

REAL ESTATE RENTALS

-buying a rental property will allow you several different deductions and opportunities to build capital and a future income stream….

-rental property purchases will allow you to write off expenses associated with purchasing the property… such as legal fees, any arrangement fees, account set up fees, bank fees, maintenance and repair of the property, etc.

-interest payments and on-going maintenance costs can be deducted from rental income, resulting in reduced rental income or a possible rental income loss that can be written off again your personal income.

-the property can appreciate in value, tax-free…. You ONLY pay tax if and when you sell for a profit.   (Historically, property values increase every 7 years… we are in an unusual period of history at the moment.  There are no guarantees the property will be worth more tomorrow..but I like a proven winner.).  If you plan to buy an investment property, then plan to hold for 7 years.

-when you sell the property, you will have to pay capital gains tax on the net profit (purchase price less expenses such as real estate fees, lawyer fees, moving costs, etc).    At the highest marginal tax rate, you would have to pay around 21.50% of your net sale profit towards tax….  Here’s a link to the formula…  That tax rate is in line with the RRSP withdrawal tax rates…

-let’s not forget that your mortgage on the rental property is being paid down for you by the rental income.… each and every year.   If you buy, rent and hold, then you will have a mortgage-free property in 20 or 25 years.. maybe sooner if you factor in the normal rent increases every year…  Rental income is usually indexed with the cost of living….    This part of the investment is rarely considered or talked about.

Watch for Part 2 for our advice on how to minimize taxes and reduce your interest costs.

Canadians buy $4.9billion worth of Florida property in 2010

Here’s some interesting stats…. According to the Jacksonville Business Journal, Canadians accounted for 39% of all international buyers of property in Florida during 2010…  That’s $4.9billion worth of property purchased by Canadians. Wow, we must have a lot of snowbirds here.!  Or maybe we just have a lot of investors?   Perhaps it’s is a combination of the two.

One thing is for certain, Canadians like Florida…  It certainly has become a popular investment for many.   Who wouldn’t want a sunny getaway in Florida?  The ads are everywhere…condos starting at $30k… houses that once sold for $600k are now selling for $225k.  Clearly, Canadians see Florida as a bargain.

And maybe, just maybe, Canadians aren’t getting into debt for frivolous reasons?… Maybe we are borrowing with these record low interest rates to invest?   Maybe those stats and articles that keep telling us we should be concerned with the ‘high personal debt levels’ of Canadians, are not a true reflection of our spending habits…??

Most Canadian buyers of Florida property are obtaining loans from a Canadian bank.   Borrowing from a Florida bank isn’t easy these days.  That’s why many Canadians will refinance their homes and use the equity to buy their Florida property.

Borrowing to invest is a good thing…. this is known as ‘good debt’….but I don’t think there are any stats that show how much we are actually borrowing to invest…. sure would be nice to know those figures…

Investing in a multi-unit properties? Take care…

Recently, I noticed something very strange happening with multi-unit properties and I want to share two experiences with you…

I was approached to refinance 2 separate and different Multi-unit properties by 2 completely different borrowers.    Both properties were in the Greater Toronto area.   They were both in great condition and were bringing in good rental income.

Property 1 was purchased in 2008 for $385k.  There are 3 legal rental units.   It generates good rental income of $3700/month. The owner paid utilities.

Property 2 was purchased in 2006 for $610k.  There are 3 legal rental units.  It generates rental income of $3400/mth…. The tenants paid utilities…(it should be noted that Property 2 is in a more expensive part of town where real estate prices are higher).

Fast forward to today…. Based on current appraised values, Property 1 is currently worth $460k, Property 2 is currently worth $660k.   Keep in mind that these are actual rents for both properties.

So how can this happen?  It’s clear to me… the buyer’s of Property 2 overpaid in 2006….Property 1 is in a less expensive part of town but the rental income and condition of the property are more relevant when dealing with investment properties….

How can you avoid this mistake?  Seek out the help of a good Mortgage Broker… A good broker can seek out the opinions of a recognized real estate appraiser… and even crunch the numbers with an experienced Lender to determine the property’s Lending Value…

As an aside, the average sale price of a single family home in GTA in 2006 was $350k…. today, it’s around $427k.   Multi-unit dwellings can be attractive but consider single family homes if you want to invest in real estate.  Always discuss the purchase with a trusted group of advisors… including your Mortgage Broker.

 

Vacancy rates fall in Canada…there’s an opportunity here.

Here’s some interesting stats  from Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.    Apartment vacancy rates are down…

The national vacancy rate is 2.6% compared with 2.8% from October 2009.  CMHC attributes this to the economic recovery.. according to CBCnews.ca.

We are also hearing reports of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) buying up properties as they expect  the rental market to remain strong.

And here’s one more article about the Florida housing market… 90,000 homes and condos were bought by International Investors…  read more here.

Add in historical low mortgage rates and this looks like a good time to buy an investment property…. Consider that a $250,000 mortgage will carry for around $1072/mth based on a 5 year fixed rate of 3.79% (lower rates are available but we’re using a higher rate for illustration purposes).      Something to consider….

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