Earlier this year, we saw a few lenders raise their Variable rate pricing from Prime less 0.75% to Prime less 0.50%…. Most other lenders did not follow.. But it made us wonder if there was some concern that the Bank of Canada might hold off on any increases in the Bank Prime this year, as was widely forecast by most Experts….
Sure enough, the recent stock market collapse, the European and US debt crisis has put any potential rate hikes on the back burner with most Economists forecasting for no increases until next year…
Fast forward to today… The Financial Post reported that RBC would increase their pricing from Prime less 0.65% to Prime less 0.45%. This move would indicate that the RBC Economists think the Bank of Canada is not in any hurry to raise the Prime rate…. or they believe the BOC may even lower the rate at some point…
Mortgage Brokers still have access to better priced Variable rate products through their wholesale channels but will other Lenders raise their pricing in the coming weeks? We’ll be watching and will let you know…
Did you know that between July 22nd and August 8th, the TSX index dropped 14%? Did you know that since August 8th, it has recovered 9% of that loss? What a roller coaster ride…But there’s good news here…
So how will this affect your mortgage rates?
Fixed mortgage rates are priced from the 5 year Cda govt bonds.. Bond yields also dropped like a rock.. from 2.27% to 1.35% during that same time period… that’s a 0.92% decrease. A visit to TD Bank’s website shows us their ‘5 year fixed rate Special offer’ is 4.19%... no drop at all. Call a Mortgage broker and you’ll see rates of around 3.49% today.
Sure, fixed rates are very low but they should be lower…. Fixed rates are usually priced around 1.30% to 1. 70% above the 5 year bond yield… Why haven’t you seen mortgage rates keep pace with the bond yield drop? That’s not hard to figure out… The Banks are maximizing their profits… same old story…Banks are infamous for hiking rates quickly and but slow to move when it comes to cutting rates.
How about Variable rates?
Well, not much to report there… The Bank of Canada meets 8 times a year. Last meeting was July 19th. Next meeting is Sept 7th. You can forget about any immediate rate hike. Economists have done an about-face with their forecasts…. We were expecting a rate hike this September or October… That’s now been pushed back to 2012… and there were even some rumblings about a possible BOC rate cut (but I’m not sure that’s gonna happen).
At 3.00%, the Bank Prime rate is still very, very low and makes borrowing very attractive… Current Variable rate mortgages are priced at between Prime less 0.65% to 0.80%… We may not see interest rates drop, but there is no reason for them to go up for the next little while…. Enjoy the low rates.
It’s the morning after the US govt agreed on a new Debt Ceiling…… and like a scene from ‘The Hangover’, many of us are waking up to unfamiliar surroundings with a big headache and an uncertain feeling in our stomach…. let’s call it a ‘financial hangover’. The global stock markets are down…..giving back all gains made this year… The Chinese credit agency has downgraded the US credit rating...
The 5 year Canada govt bond yields has dropped to 1.84%... A level only seen twice before… first, just after the October 2008 US mortgage crisis and again late last year.
So what’s the good news?? This should mean lower fixed mortgage rates are coming… let’s hope the Banks move as fast to cut the rate as they do when they raise them. This also means less chance of any rate hikes….
Enjoy the low rates.
It seems US has reached a compromise on the debt ceiling and another crisis avoided. President Obama and the Republicans have come to an agreement. read more here.
We already knew the US was on shaky economic ground… no one really knew how a US debt default would affect Canada or the rest of the world. It certainly wouldn’t be a good thing.
But before we can breathe a sigh of relief, Canada’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) fell by 0.3% in May. The largest single month drop since May 2009. This unexpected drop is good news for those of us with mortgages.
Interest rates are expected to remain low for this year. And a Bank of Canada rate hike is less likely in September or even October.
Enjoy the low rates.
No real surprise here… Just about everyone expected the BOC to keep the Key Rate unchanged at today’s fifth of eight scheduled meetings. This keeps the your Bank Prime lending rate at 3.00%…. Here’s
We can thank a slower than expected U.S. recovery and the European debt crisis… With all this uncertainty in the global economy, it appears interest rates won’t go up until there is some positive news…
Most experts fee that no change will occur til later this year and some are even forecasting no rate hikes til next year.
The BOC did hint they do want to raise rates but are being cautious in their approach. Here’s a report from CBC.ca.
Enjoy the low rates..