Today was the last of eight regularly scheduled meetings by the Bank of Canada (BOC). The BOC didn’t raise their Target rate.. no surprise here. With uncertain economic data in the U.S., Ireland and even a little shaky news in Canada, there was no chance of a rate hike.
It’s widely believed that Governor Mark Carney will not raise the rate until March 2011 at the earliest, or maybe even May 2011… possibly later… read more here.
One thing is for certain, the longer things remain uncertain, the longer we will be enjoying these record low rates… Variable rate mortgages can be had at 2.25% and a 5 year fixed is around 3.69%. Borrow wisely…
Latest figures show inflation jumped 2.4% in October according to Statistics Canada… compared with 1.9% in September. The Bank of Canada aims for an inflation rate of between 1% and 3%. Anything over 2% can trigger the Bank of Canada to take action… Usually, a hike in the Bank of Canada Rate, which affects Variable Rate Mortgages..
However, it’s no reason to panic. A one month inflation spike probably isn’t enough for the Bank of Canada (BOC) to take drastic action. It’s probably gonna take consecutive months of higher inflation or other events before the BOC raise rates again. Most experts believe the Bank of Canada will not make any changes til next year.
Throw in some Global issues like Ireland’s’ debt and the Korean conflict heating up and you get uncertainty… Uncertainty means rates should stay low for some time…
Bank of Canada governor, Mark Carney, held the Target Rate steady today…as expected… Concerns about the U.S. economic recovery stalling, the Global economy and our own domestic economy were mentioned in the Press Release.
In the press release, the Bank said inflation was not a concern as it is under the 2% target. Take all this data and it spells UNCERTAINTY.
What’s also interesting is that the Bank has adjusted it’s forecast for growth downward for the next 2 years…Great news for those in a Variable rate… Variable rates are hovering around 2.30% these days.
This makes the Variable Rate product that much more attractive…even with 5 year fixed rates in the 3.59% range.
Experts believe the rate will remain steady throughout next Spring and possibly into Fall depending on inflation and Global and domestic economic data….
Click here for the Press Release.
We’re starting to see more evidence that the recovery is not going as well as the Bank of Canada first thought. Inflation has dipped slightly, even with the HST.
CIBC Chief Economist, Avery Shenfeld, says we are beyond the ‘Great Depression of 2008-09 but we are in the ‘Great Disappointment’ of a sub-par recovery. He’s forecasting for interest rates to remain flat until the spring of next year, followed by only gradual increases thereafter.
Great news for anyone that has a mortgage…
Bank of Canada raised their Target Rate by 0.25% to 1.00%. We will see the Retail Bank’s Prime lending rate go up from 2.75% to 3.00%.
Governor, Mark Carney, said “Any further reduction in monetary stimulus would need to be carefully considered in light of the unusual uncertainty surrounding the outlook,” . This is sounding like we won’t see any further hikes til some time next year as the Government evaluates the economy and the global markets.
I still like Variable rate… at 2.30% to 2.50%, this is still much better than the 5 year fixed rate of 3.75%, which is what we are seeing today.