Interest rates to stay low for longer than expected…
The, soon to be, ex-Bank of Canada Governor, Mark Carney, is leaving us with a present… During yesterday’s Rate Announcement, the first of eight regularly scheduled rate meetings this year, Carney said the economy is growing at a slower pace than expected…. we having a cooling housing market….. inflation remains low and is not an immediate concern…. Last but not least, he expects the economy will not reach it’s full capacity in late 2014 and that withdrawing any monetary policy stimulus is less imminent than previously anticipated.
End result, no rate hikes are expected til 2014… These comments come as a bit of a surprise given the Bank of Canada has wanted to raise rates for the past 2 years. Well, maybe it’s Carney’s way of giving us a departing present….Let’s not look a gift horse in the mouth. Continue reading “Interest rates to stay low for longer than expected…”

The Federal govt controls hi-ratio mortgage lending…. (mortgages that are greater than 80% loan to value)… There is a $600 billion limit for Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC… a federal corp). And a $250 billion limit for Genworth Financial Canada (a private corp).
Unless you’ve been living under a rock for the past 4 years, it’s impossible to not know the Federal govt’s concern about Canada’s Personal Debt level. The media has covered this topic extensively. After all, bad news sells more than good news…..
tougher to get a Variable rate mortgage…. In 2010, the Fed govt would help increase those Bank profits…All new Variable rate mortgage borrowers would need to qualify at the Bank posted 5 year fixed rate. The Feds said they had to tighten Mortgage Lending Rules… They had to make it tougher to qualify for a mortgage with fluctuating interest rates to ensure we would not have a ‘housing bubble’ and a ‘mortgage default problem’… This pushed out 5% more borrowers from qualifying for, and benefiting from Variable rates. And by the way, at that time, Variable rates ranged anywhere from 1.50% to 1.95% compared with the best discounted 5 yr fixed rate of 3.89%…..! Anyone seeing a pattern here? (Some stats to remember…Mortgage defaults have been under 0.50% for over 15 years are currently at around 0.33%… this is at or near record lows!!… so where’s the problem??)