CategoryReal Estate Trends

Posted 3 months ago4 Comments Mortgage News

The Condo Carnage Is Real.. but is it over?

Let’s call this what it is: a day of reckoning. The great Canadian condo delusion, a mass psychosis fueled by cheap money and a fear of missing out, is over. The speculative fever has broken, leaving a trail of financial devastation in its wake. For years, an entire generation was told that buying a condo—any condo, at any price—was the only path to prosperity. They were wrong. Dead wrong. And now, the carnage from that spectacular miscalculation is creating the single greatest buying opportunity we’ve seen in decades.

The numbers don’t just tell a story; they scream it from the rooftops. In the Greater Toronto Area, sales volumes haven’t just dipped; they’ve cratered, falling a gut-wrenching 60% from the peak. In the first quarter of this year, a paltry 1,800 new condo units were sold across the entire GTHA. Let that sink in. We haven’t seen a number that terrifyingly low since 1995. This isn’t a slowdown; it’s a full-blown market seizure, a cardiac arrest of consumer confidence.

Posted 3 months ago Finance

The $13 Billion Question: Will Ottawa’s “Build Canada Homes” Fix Our Broken Housing Market, or Just Build More Problems?

Another week, another blockbuster announcement from Ottawa aimed at solving our national housing crisis. This time, it’s a shiny new federal agency dubbed “Build Canada Homes,” launched with a cool $13 billion of your money. The promise? To slice through the red tape, leverage public lands, and finally start building the affordable homes that Canadians are so desperately crying out for. On the surface, it sounds like the cavalry cresting the hill. But as anyone who’s been in the real estate and mortgage game as long as I have knows, the devil is always in the details. And in this case, the details are as sparse as a downtown Toronto parking spot.

So, let’s peel back the layers of this government onion and see if it brings tears of joy or sorrow. What is this program really going to do?

THE GRAND PLAN: PUBLIC LANDS, PREFAB HOMES, AND A WHOLE LOT OF HOPE

The core idea behind Build Canada Homes is for the federal government to become a master developer. They’re planning to use vast swaths of public land – we’re talking about 88 federal properties spanning 463 hectares, roughly the size of downtown Ottawa – to build everything from high-rise apartments to single-family homes. The initial rollout is slated for six cities: Dartmouth, Longueuil, Ottawa, Toronto, Winnipeg, and Edmonton, with a first-phase target of 4,000 factory-built homes.

Posted June 13, 2025 Interest rates

Ask the Expert: Can the new Liberal housing plan solve Canada’s housing crisis?

Recently, Prime Minister Mark Carney and the Liberal party unveiled Building Canada Strong, a new ambitious housing plan to accelerate residential construction with the goal of building 500,000 homes a year.

Their most notable policies include cutting development fees for new construction, having the government play the role of developer to build and manage affordable housing across Canada (the Build Canada Homes Plan), and to eliminate the Goods and Services Tax (GST) for first time homeowners purchasing homes under $1 million.

This plan comes at an uncertain time — Canadians are contending with high unemployment, stagnating real estate markets in our biggest cities, and an ongoing affordability crisis. Our mortgage expert weighs in on the new Liberal plan and where he thinks mortgage rates are heading in the near future.

What are your thoughts on the Building Canada Strong plan?

Do you think it goes far enough to solve the housing crisis? Anything you think they could do differently?

After a rollercoaster election and one of the biggest surprise turnarounds in history, we have a new minority government in Canada for the next four years led by Prime Minister Mark Carney. Love him or hate him, we should all wish the new leader all the best. His success will translate into our success.

Being Canadian means supporting your country and that means supporting and respecting your government. It’s okay to criticize when appropriate and necessary. We all do it. But in order … Continue Reading…

I hope you will enjoy this article and if you have any questions or would like to discuss I am always available.

Your best interest is my only interest. I reply to all questions and I welcome your comments. Like this article? Share with a friend.

Steve Garganis: 416-224-0114; steve@canadamortgagenews.

Posted April 10, 20251 Comment Bank News

A Financial Crisis Or Is It?

2025 will go down in history as one of those years filled with volatility and turmoil. There’s a quote from a book I read that seems appropriate today. “People want certainty versus accuracy.” I hope to give you certainty by sharing my 36 year experience in financial services and having lived through 5 financial crises and living through a 6th crisis today.

I’m going to take a risk and speak very bluntly. This may anger or upset some of you. I apologize, I have to say some things. I have to point out the obvious.

FIRST THE BAD NEWS…

I’m a math guy. Work with numbers every day. The stats don’t lie. Our economy, GDP, cost of living, housing costs, have all gone into the toilet. You don’t need to look very far to believe this. Many of you have contacted me about job losses, or potential job losses. Those secure in their jobs call me because they have increased their debt levels and this can be for many reasons. The point is, many are having a hard time paying their debts.

Posted March 11, 2025 Bank News

Ask the Expert: Steve Garganis – With the capital gains tax hike on its way out, is this your chance to buy an investment property?

With the capital gains tax increase looking less and less likely, how should Canadians be thinking about investment properties? Is now the time to buy?

Earlier this year, the federal government announced that it will be deferring the effective date for the proposed capital gains inclusion rate increase to 66.67% from 50% to January 1, 2026.

The proposal to increase to the capital gains tax was first introduced last April applicable to gains above $250,000. (For gains below $250,000, the same 50% capital gains tax would apply.) However, the government didn’t have the opportunity to table the legislation before parliament was prorogued.

However, this capital gains tax increase would have left some people in a tough position.

Some that entered into new construction agreements in 2022 were the most vulnerable, as they would have purchased when real estate values were inflated during the lower COVID-era mortgage rates. (However, this may not be the case for all, as property values in general, are down across Canada compared with 2022, with condos taking the biggest hit in Toronto and Vancouver.)

Family cottage owners and long-time property owners with larger capital gains would also be affected. Read More – Interview with Steve Garganis

I hope you will enjoy this article and if you have any questions or would like to discuss I am always available.

Your best interest is my only interest. I reply to all questions and I welcome your comments. Like this article? Share with a friend.

Steve Garganis: 416-224-0114; steve@canadamortgagenews.