Taginvesting

Posted 2 months ago4 Comments Mortgage News

The Condo Carnage Is Real.. but is it over?

Let’s call this what it is: a day of reckoning. The great Canadian condo delusion, a mass psychosis fueled by cheap money and a fear of missing out, is over. The speculative fever has broken, leaving a trail of financial devastation in its wake. For years, an entire generation was told that buying a condo—any condo, at any price—was the only path to prosperity. They were wrong. Dead wrong. And now, the carnage from that spectacular miscalculation is creating the single greatest buying opportunity we’ve seen in decades.

The numbers don’t just tell a story; they scream it from the rooftops. In the Greater Toronto Area, sales volumes haven’t just dipped; they’ve cratered, falling a gut-wrenching 60% from the peak. In the first quarter of this year, a paltry 1,800 new condo units were sold across the entire GTHA. Let that sink in. We haven’t seen a number that terrifyingly low since 1995. This isn’t a slowdown; it’s a full-blown market seizure, a cardiac arrest of consumer confidence.

Posted 3 months ago Finance

The $13 Billion Question: Will Ottawa’s “Build Canada Homes” Fix Our Broken Housing Market, or Just Build More Problems?

Another week, another blockbuster announcement from Ottawa aimed at solving our national housing crisis. This time, it’s a shiny new federal agency dubbed “Build Canada Homes,” launched with a cool $13 billion of your money. The promise? To slice through the red tape, leverage public lands, and finally start building the affordable homes that Canadians are so desperately crying out for. On the surface, it sounds like the cavalry cresting the hill. But as anyone who’s been in the real estate and mortgage game as long as I have knows, the devil is always in the details. And in this case, the details are as sparse as a downtown Toronto parking spot.

So, let’s peel back the layers of this government onion and see if it brings tears of joy or sorrow. What is this program really going to do?

THE GRAND PLAN: PUBLIC LANDS, PREFAB HOMES, AND A WHOLE LOT OF HOPE

The core idea behind Build Canada Homes is for the federal government to become a master developer. They’re planning to use vast swaths of public land – we’re talking about 88 federal properties spanning 463 hectares, roughly the size of downtown Ottawa – to build everything from high-rise apartments to single-family homes. The initial rollout is slated for six cities: Dartmouth, Longueuil, Ottawa, Toronto, Winnipeg, and Edmonton, with a first-phase target of 4,000 factory-built homes.

Posted August 5, 2025 Bank News

Refinance today before you can’t tomorrow

Alright, let’s talk mortgages. Because right now, for a lot of Canadians, that word “mortgage” isn’t exactly synonymous with “sweet dreams and financial freedom.” No, for far too many, it’s becoming a four-letter word that brings with it a whole lot of anxiety.

I’ve been in this business a long time, seen a lot of market cycles. But what we’re witnessing today is something else entirely. The sheer volume of people hitting their mortgage renewal dates with rates dramatically higher than what they signed up for just a few years back? It’s unprecedented. The “payment shock” isn’t just a buzzword; it’s a gut punch for a massive percentage of Canadian households.

Think back to 2020, 2021. Interest rates were practically giving money away. We saw fixed rates dipping below 2%, variable rates even lower. People bought homes, stretched their budgets, maybe even consolidated a little bit of debt with that sweet low-rate mortgage. Life was good, financially speaking.

Posted July 17, 2025 Mortgage News

Ask the Mortgage Expert: Why this could be your window of opportunity into Canadian real estate

The Canadian real estate market, as we all know, has been a rollercoaster. We’ve seen the highs, the wild bidding wars, and then the cooling period as interest rates climbed. But here we are, in July 2025. I’m here to tell you that for the savvy buyer, today might just be that sweet spot you’ve been waiting for.

You’ve heard the chatter: “overvalued,” “affordability crisis,” “wait for prices to drop.” And sure, even cutting through the noise, if you’re expecting a 2021-style market frenzy, you’ll be disappointed.

But short of that, here are reasons why now presents a unique window of opportunity.

Interest rates are stabilizing (and perhaps declining)

We’ve seen the Bank of Canada make big moves over the years. But while we’re not back to rock-bottom rates, the aggressive hikes are behind us. The market is adjusting to a new reality.

What does that mean for you?

First, there’s less uncertainty around your mortgage payments. And with some economists forecasting further modest rate cuts through 2025 and 2026, locking in a rate now – or considering a variable option – could put you in a very strong position as borrowing costs potentially ease further.

This is a far cry from the rapidly escalating rates we battled just a year or two ago.

Plus, if the Bank of Canada continues to pause or cut rates, as many expect it will (with forecasts suggesting the policy rate could reach 2.25% by the end of 2025), your monthly payments on a variable rate mortgage will decrease.

This isn’t just about saving a few bucks; it’s about saving potentially hundreds or even thousands of dollars in interest over your mortgage term, with more of your payments going towards the principal.

Historically, variable rates have outperformed fixed rates over a full mortgage cycle. While we can’t predict the future with 100% certainty, the current economic tea leaves strongly suggest we’re moving into an “easing phase.” This means that the risk of rates suddenly skyrocketing is significantly lower than it was a couple of years ago.

A more balanced market (in many regions)

Forget the desperate bidding wars of yesteryear.

In many parts of Canada — particularly in the historically hot markets of Ontario and British Columbia — we’re seeing increased inventory. This isn’t a collapse; it’s a normalization.

More listings mean more choice for buyers, and critically, more negotiating power. You’re no longer fighting tooth and nail against a dozen other offers. Continue Reading…

I hope you will enjoy this article and if you have any questions or would like to discuss I am always available.

Your best interest is my only interest. I reply to all questions and I welcome your comments. Like this article? Share with a friend.

Steve Garganis: 416-224-0114; steve@canadamortgagenews.

Posted April 10, 20251 Comment Bank News

A Financial Crisis Or Is It?

2025 will go down in history as one of those years filled with volatility and turmoil. There’s a quote from a book I read that seems appropriate today. “People want certainty versus accuracy.” I hope to give you certainty by sharing my 36 year experience in financial services and having lived through 5 financial crises and living through a 6th crisis today.

I’m going to take a risk and speak very bluntly. This may anger or upset some of you. I apologize, I have to say some things. I have to point out the obvious.

FIRST THE BAD NEWS…

I’m a math guy. Work with numbers every day. The stats don’t lie. Our economy, GDP, cost of living, housing costs, have all gone into the toilet. You don’t need to look very far to believe this. Many of you have contacted me about job losses, or potential job losses. Those secure in their jobs call me because they have increased their debt levels and this can be for many reasons. The point is, many are having a hard time paying their debts.