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CategoryMortgage Rates

The 2024/2025 Rate Forecast

At the Mortgage Professionals Canada conference last month, Benjamin Tal, Deputy Chief Economist at CIBC World Markets, gave a very hopeful and informative presentation.

Mr. Tal always has a keen sense of what’s next both nationally and internationally. He is extremely apt at making sense of global economics, then breaking down in simple terms what it means for Canada. This time he came forward with a positive forecast that I agree with: rates are due to fall.

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Looking To Buy? Now Might Be the Right Time

You’ve probably heard me say this before: it’s never a good idea to time the market. But there are moments in time where if you’re looking, it might be better to act sooner than later. These times are rare, but when they do come around, they present a unique opportunity if you play your cards right. This is one of those times.

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The Bank of Canada Does It Again

Some not-so-great news from the Bank of Canada yesterday: the target rate was raised yet again by 0.25%. This one wasn’t a complete surprise. Rates have been climbing for the last year to battle red hot inflation. Inflation is now at 4.4%, which is huge progress from 8.1% this time last year. But last month’s Consumer Index Report logged an unexpected 0.1% jump in inflation from the previous month.

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Home Prices Heat Up Despite High Interest Rates

Some weird stuff is happening in the world of real estate. As you likely know, the Bank of Canada has steadily raised interest rates over the past year in hopes of cooling inflation. This was also supposed to cool the housing market. Conventional wisdom dictates that higher rates would result in more mortgage defaults, more housing supply, and lower home prices. Oddly enough, none of that is happening. 

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Free Money Will Cost Canadians

There’s one reason and one reason only that rates have skyrocketed by 4.25% in less than 10 months: inflation. The Bank of Canada has made it their mandate to bring inflation down to 2% – a far cry from the peak at 5.9%. Their plan is to jack up rates so that people will have less disposable income. The idea is that less disposable income will lead to less personal spending. Less personal spending will lead to lower demand for goods. Lower demand for goods will eventually lead to lower prices on those goods. 

Essentially, for this plan to work, Canadians need to spend less money. It’s as simple as that. So why in the world does the Prime Minister keep giving Canadians more money to spend?

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