CategoryRate forecast

Our Leaders Are Rolling Up Their Sleeves… To Wave the White Flag

Another week, another series of baffling decisions from Ottawa that leave you wondering what reality our leaders are living in. On September 17th, the Bank of Canada, in a move that surprised no one paying attention to our sputtering economy, chopped its overnight rate by another quarter-point. While this offers a sliver of relief for those of us with variable-rate debt, it’s a glaring admission that the economic engine is stalling.

But the real headline came a few days later, on September 23rd, when Governor Tiff Macklem delivered a speech titled, “Time to Roll up our sleeves.” You’d think that would be a call to action, a rallying cry for Canadian industry. Instead, it felt more like a blueprint for surrender.

A DANGEROUS PIVOT FROM OUR GREATEST ALLY

Governor Macklem’s big idea? After 15 years of dithering, he’s decided Canada has relied too much on the United States. His solution is to now, finally, forge “stronger trade relations” with Europe and, get this, China.

Posted June 13, 2025 Interest rates

Ask the Expert: Can the new Liberal housing plan solve Canada’s housing crisis?

Recently, Prime Minister Mark Carney and the Liberal party unveiled Building Canada Strong, a new ambitious housing plan to accelerate residential construction with the goal of building 500,000 homes a year.

Their most notable policies include cutting development fees for new construction, having the government play the role of developer to build and manage affordable housing across Canada (the Build Canada Homes Plan), and to eliminate the Goods and Services Tax (GST) for first time homeowners purchasing homes under $1 million.

This plan comes at an uncertain time — Canadians are contending with high unemployment, stagnating real estate markets in our biggest cities, and an ongoing affordability crisis. Our mortgage expert weighs in on the new Liberal plan and where he thinks mortgage rates are heading in the near future.

What are your thoughts on the Building Canada Strong plan?

Do you think it goes far enough to solve the housing crisis? Anything you think they could do differently?

After a rollercoaster election and one of the biggest surprise turnarounds in history, we have a new minority government in Canada for the next four years led by Prime Minister Mark Carney. Love him or hate him, we should all wish the new leader all the best. His success will translate into our success.

Being Canadian means supporting your country and that means supporting and respecting your government. It’s okay to criticize when appropriate and necessary. We all do it. But in order … Continue Reading…

I hope you will enjoy this article and if you have any questions or would like to discuss I am always available.

Your best interest is my only interest. I reply to all questions and I welcome your comments. Like this article? Share with a friend.

Steve Garganis: 416-224-0114; steve@canadamortgagenews.

Posted April 10, 20251 Comment Bank News

A Financial Crisis Or Is It?

2025 will go down in history as one of those years filled with volatility and turmoil. There’s a quote from a book I read that seems appropriate today. “People want certainty versus accuracy.” I hope to give you certainty by sharing my 36 year experience in financial services and having lived through 5 financial crises and living through a 6th crisis today.

I’m going to take a risk and speak very bluntly. This may anger or upset some of you. I apologize, I have to say some things. I have to point out the obvious.

FIRST THE BAD NEWS…

I’m a math guy. Work with numbers every day. The stats don’t lie. Our economy, GDP, cost of living, housing costs, have all gone into the toilet. You don’t need to look very far to believe this. Many of you have contacted me about job losses, or potential job losses. Those secure in their jobs call me because they have increased their debt levels and this can be for many reasons. The point is, many are having a hard time paying their debts.

Posted March 11, 2025 Bank News

Ask the Expert: Steve Garganis – With the capital gains tax hike on its way out, is this your chance to buy an investment property?

With the capital gains tax increase looking less and less likely, how should Canadians be thinking about investment properties? Is now the time to buy?

Earlier this year, the federal government announced that it will be deferring the effective date for the proposed capital gains inclusion rate increase to 66.67% from 50% to January 1, 2026.

The proposal to increase to the capital gains tax was first introduced last April applicable to gains above $250,000. (For gains below $250,000, the same 50% capital gains tax would apply.) However, the government didn’t have the opportunity to table the legislation before parliament was prorogued.

However, this capital gains tax increase would have left some people in a tough position.

Some that entered into new construction agreements in 2022 were the most vulnerable, as they would have purchased when real estate values were inflated during the lower COVID-era mortgage rates. (However, this may not be the case for all, as property values in general, are down across Canada compared with 2022, with condos taking the biggest hit in Toronto and Vancouver.)

Family cottage owners and long-time property owners with larger capital gains would also be affected. Read More – Interview with Steve Garganis

I hope you will enjoy this article and if you have any questions or would like to discuss I am always available.

Your best interest is my only interest. I reply to all questions and I welcome your comments. Like this article? Share with a friend.

Steve Garganis: 416-224-0114; steve@canadamortgagenews.

Posted March 6, 2025 Bank News

Tariffs Up but Mortgage Rates Down

A quick note… we’ve all heard about the Trump Tariffs. It will make everything more expensive. Canada and also in the USA. It will put people’s jobs at risk, we are likely to see layoffs, and economists are forecasting for a recession. This is if the tariffs do go through and continue for over a month.

Now that I’ve cheered you up, here’s the good news. And there is some. Mortgage rates are headed lower. Fixed rates and variable rates. The old rule of bad economic news brings lower interest rates is true. A few things to point out about How interest rates are calculated.