O’Leary only wants Fixed rate mortgages…really?
CBC News did a report about Renting vs. Buying, earlier this week.. And it featured Kevin O’Leary and Amanda Lang, two well-known TV personalities….Ok, we covered Rent vs. Own in great detail just a few months ago… And I also talked about using your home as a retirement fund, earlier this week in my Baby Boomer 10 year retirement plan article.. But this isn’t what I want to talk about… I want to talk about some comments O’Leary made about Fixed Rates, during that report.
UNPOPULAR COMMENTS AGAINST O’LEARY
I’m taking a chance by speaking out against Kevin O’Leary. But I must speak up regarding something as important as this… So here it goes…
O’Leary is starting a new mortgage company….Congrats! I’m sure he’ll do well. He said his company would ONLY offer Fixed rate mortgages because Mr. O’Leary doesn’t believe ANYONE should be in a Variable Rate mortgage…. he went on to say that because Fixed Rates are so low, you would have to be insane to stay in a Variable Rate…Hmm.. well, if you are one of my clients then you know how absurd this statement is…
2008-09 MORTGAGE HISTORY LESSONS
Over 80% of my clients are, or have been in a Variable rate mortgage… Most of them enjoyed rates of Prime less 0.75% or better… some even had Prime less 0.90%..and for a while, they enjoyed rates as low at 1.35%!!! During the 2008-09 recession, we were inundated with TV and Media personalities telling us to lock into a 5 year Fixed rate mortgage because of the sub-prime mortgage crisis and stock market crash… You remember that? I do… and I recommended clients do the opposite.. take short-term mortgages until the dust settled on interest rates… This WAS NOT the popular advice… It was panic time…. but that’s when you need to remain calm and review the facts…
Fortunately, most of my clients didn’t listen to the media and followed my advice. I recommended several different products… 6 months, 1 year, 2 year, 3 year and even the short-lived 3 yr Variable rate… In ALL cases, it was the right product choice…. It was the best option at the time for that particular client…My clients have saved $$thousands each and every year through my advice!
(historical fact… Variable rate mortgages have been a cheaper way to finance your home in over 88% of time…Professor Milevsky study.)
TODAY’S STRATEGY
Unfortunately, new Variable rate products aren’t priced as well today…. This is probably that other 12% of the time….And although I am not recommending Variable rates today for most borrowers, it still might be the right product for some… To say everyone should get out of their Variable rate is just bad advice! The GOAL IS TO PAY THE LEAST AMOUNT OF MONEY TO OWN OUR HOMES!
My criteria for choosing Fixed over Variable depends on many factors but here are 3 things I pay close attention to:
1-Variable rate pricing not as attractive.. the best Variable rate today is Prime less 0.35% (3.00% less 0.35% = 2.65%)…..
2-Fixed rates are at historical lows (just over 3.00%).
3-the spread between 5 yr Fixed and Variable should be over 1.00%…today it’s less than 0.50%.
Add all of this up and it’s an easy choice today….I cannot recommend Variable Rate for most NEW mortgages….
THIS DOESN’T MEAN YOU SHOULD GET OUT OF YOUR VARIABLE RATE!!!
If you have a Variable rate of Prime less 0.75%, I would stick with that… that’s 2.25%… why start paying over 3.00%? There is no forecast for immediate rate increases… And this is where I am very concerned…. We have a very well known TV personality that comes out and says everyone should lock into a Fixed Rate mortgage…. I’m sure the BANKS would love to see you out of a 2.25% mortgage and into a 3.00%+ rate. I completely disagree with O’Leary. There is no ‘One size fits all’ mortgage. Everyone is different and has different needs… I’d be very careful about listening to anyone that wants to pigeon-hole all Canadians.
BEWARE THE TV EXPERTS… Just a final note…. How many times have you heard ‘Rates are going up soon’ in the last 4 years.? You must lock into a Fixed Rate… I hear it everyday…. and if my clients listened to these ‘Experts’ they would have been out of their Prime less 0.75% Variable rate and into a 4.00%, 5.00% or even 6.00% fixed rate mortgage! Those that have listened to the facts have done extremely well. There isn’t a crystal ball… it’s not magic, it’s simply viewing the mortgage landscape, current economic trends, monitoring inflation rates and paying attention to govt and policy makers… I really don’t watch the news or listen to any media or TV personalities. I just look at the facts and present them here.
As always, if you have any comments or questions or would like to know what strategy is best for you, give your mortgage broker a call.. or call me if you don’t have a broker. I’d be happy to help.
Steve Garganis 416 224 0114 steve@mortgagenow.ca
CanadaMortgageNews.ca 