“My fellow Canadians, Canada has spoken…” you’ve heard the speech before. Okay, now that the party is over, what’s the hangover gonna look like? It’s hard to say for sure. Politicians are infamous for making promises they can’t keep.
One thing that we (I’m talking about anyone with a mortgage or invested in real estate) should be concerned with is what the Liberals plan to do with housing, mortgage rules, interest rates.
Here’s part of what they have promised.. Good and Bad. Continue reading “Trudeau effect on housing market, interest rates and more….!”
This isn’t 2010, 11, 12, 13 or even 2014… It’s 2015, and once again, we are making this announcement. 5 year Fixed Mortgage rates are an new all-time lows! Today, you can get a 5 yr fixed rate for 2.79%, even 2.74%, with some conditions. (and by the way, yes, I am seeing slightly lower rates advertised, and I have access to these, but I won’t recommend these to my clients as they contain inferior terms, limited privileges, product restrictions and inflated prepayment penalty calculations… I won’t promote these.)
Just 2 years ago, the Federal Minister of Finance’s office picked up the phone, and called a Bank because they were advertising a 5 yr fixed rate at 2.99%. The federal govt was concerned that the record low rate, at the time, would promote more consumer spending and make the already hot real estate market, even hotter. Continue reading “Mortgage Rates hit Record lows again!”
Fixed mortgage rates are tied into Govt of Cda bond yields. As the yields go done, so does the fixed mortgage rates.. well, usually.. more on that later..These bond yields have hit all-time lows in the past week… Yesterday, they were as low as 0.55%... To put that into perspective, the 5 yr bond yield is lower than the Bank or Canada overnight rate, which now stands at 0.75%. Another historical event. That almost never happens.
Check out these 2 historical charts to compare the Bank of Canada rate from 1935 to Dec 2014 and 5 year Govt of Cda bond yield from 1980 to Dec 2014….
If you’re wondering what this means for you, a Canadian consumer, it means mortgage rates should go even lower. Institutional investors are pricing in a further Bank of Canada rate cut at their next schedule meeting on March 4th, 2015. Continue reading “Record low Bond yields means even lower fixed mortgage rates”
FEAR..! They say fear motivates us to do things we shouldn’t. If you’ve been reading the News Headlines for the past several weeks, you’ve been hammered with RATE HIKE FEARS! Everyone was saying rates were gonna go up.
It wasn’t just speculation, it was a foregone conclusion. Almost factual! There were headlines even reporting how much of an impact these new ‘higher rates’ would affect our lives, our budgets, our house values, our savings, etc. We saw so-called ‘Experts’ recommending we lock into long term Fixed rates! There was one articles telling us we should consider selling out homes! I mean if you didn’t know better, you would think the sky was falling!
Panic was starting to set in for thousands of Canadians. I was getting calls from concerned consumers asking if they should be doing anything with regards to their mortgage, their investments, and other personal finances. Continue reading “Bank of Canada Rate cut is positive news… don’t listen to fear mongers.”
EVEN THE BANK OF CANADA SAYS MORTGAGE BROKERS WILL GET YOU A LOWER RATE.
The Bank of Canada did a study a few years ago called Competition in the Canadian Mortgage Market. The study concluded that consumers get a lower interest rate through brokers. They also said that higher income earners were actually paying higher rates because they are less likely to spend the time to shop around for lower rates.
Last week, I did an interview for the news media about what a broker does. They also interviewed one of my clients. This client owns more than one property, he’s an experienced real estate investor and a senior manager for a major corporation. He uses my service because I save him time and money. He trusts my advice. It’s that simple. Here’s a link to the article.
IS YOUR BANKER GIVING THE BEST RATE?
A simple question. How many of us can truly answer, yes? You walk into your branch, you see a posted rate. Then your banker shows you the “special rate” or “discounted rate”. And then maybe they tell you they can do a little better. But how much better? And why aren’t they giving this up front? Don’t loyal customers deserve the best? Does this game sound familiar?
Continue reading “Is your banker giving you their best rate?”
5 year fixed @ 2.99% is back. This is NOT a NO FRILLS product (for those of you that saw a similar rate elsewhere earlier this year) but there is tougher qualifying. This seems to have become an annual event. For the past 3 years, we’ve seen 2.99% or less, being offered each Spring. So, why haven’t rates gone up like the Bank’s economists, government analysts and other so-called ‘experts’ had predicted?
There are several reasons but, to sum it all up, the global economies haven’t recovered from the 2008 recession. The US recovery is slower than expected. Canada’s inflation rate is below target levels. There were even concerns we could see deflation, which would cause the Bank of Canada to lower rates… those concerns have gone away…. for now!
WHAT’S THE FORECAST NOW?
Continue reading “2.99% is back… does that mean we should take it?”
Last week, the Bank of Canada governor, Stephen Poloz, held the first of 8 scheduled meetings to set the Target Rate. This is the rate used to set the Bank Prime rate which currently sits at 3.00%. No surprise, no change in the rate. It has been the same since Sept 2010.
From 2011 to 2013, the previous Bank of Canada governor, Mark Carney, continually announced of a pending rate increase. But late last year, Poloz changed the tide when he announced it could be a few years before rates go up. One of the key drivers for rate hikes is inflation. The BoC target for inflation is between 1% and 3%. If inflation goes above 3%, we can expect rate hikes.
Inflation is not a concern. In fact, there are concerns about deflation as the current inflation rate sit at 1.2%. Some experts believe we could see the BoC rate drop. Great news for anyone in a Variable rate. We are also seeing the govt of Cda bond yields drop. Friday’s close was down to 1.59% for 5 yr bonds. Haven’t seen that level since June 2013. This means Fixed mortgage rates will probably go down further. Continue reading “Bank of Canada says no rate hikes, but possible rate drops!!”