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Bank of Canada Rate Cut July 2024: Impact on Mortgages and Economy

The Bank of Canada just cut the overnight rate by another 0.25%. For the second consecutive month, they’ve lowered the rate. In total, a 0.50% drop in two months. (not enough, but it’s a start) Great news for anyone in a Variable rate mortgage. It means you will be paying 0.50% less on your mortgage. We can expect further cuts this year and next. Read on for more details.

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Why your groceries, homes and rents cost more. A Critical Analysis

The Bank of Canada put out a report entitled   What drives up the price of groceries?

They could have easily simplified the title to say “What Drives Up the Price of Everything”.  Their answer is the cost of ENERGY and the cost of labour. I’m going to remind you that this report is from the Bank of Canada.. “a Crown corporation that is separate from the political process” as their website says.   

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Finally!! The Bank of Canada cuts the rate. 

Today, the Bank of Canada cut the Prime rate by 0.25%.  Hooray!  This will directly affect Variable rate mortgages and indirectly affect Fixed rate mortgages. 

It has been 27 months since the Bank of Canada governor, Tiff Macklem, started hiking rates to combat inflation.  The last hike was in July 2023. Since then, it’s been a guessing game to see when Macklem would act.. Finally, he cut the rates which is much needed and welcome news to all.

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There’s Never a Good Time To Time the Market

Rates are up, inventory is low, and sales volume is flat. If you’re looking to buy a new home, what are you supposed to do? A lot of people will tell you to wait. After all, rates are dropping soon! Why not just be patient until you can lock into lower monthly mortgage payments? 

What these people don’t realize is that waiting can be a dangerous game. I’ve been in real estate for more than 3 decades, and while things change all the time, one thing has remained consistently true: it’s never a good idea to time the market.

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The 2024/2025 Rate Forecast

At the Mortgage Professionals Canada conference last month, Benjamin Tal, Deputy Chief Economist at CIBC World Markets, gave a very hopeful and informative presentation.

Mr. Tal always has a keen sense of what’s next both nationally and internationally. He is extremely apt at making sense of global economics, then breaking down in simple terms what it means for Canada. This time he came forward with a positive forecast that I agree with: rates are due to fall.

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