I’ve never seen more competition with mortgage rates in my 30-year career than I have in the first five months of 2019!
Rates are under 3%!
On May 10th, a new jobs report was released by the federal government showing 106,000 new jobs created in the month of April. This blew away all expectations. And, the reaction was immediate, including higher mortgages being imminent and a bull stock market on the horizon… and yet, this didn’t happen. Continue reading “A Rate War on Canada Day?”
We’ve seen mortgage rates drop steadily over the past three months. At the beginning of this year, we saw fixed rates approaching 4%. And, today, we’re seeing them sit around 3%.
WARNING: These rate wars could come to an end as recent employment figures skyrocketed all estimates… stay tuned!
This is like the perfect storm. Fewer mortgage transactions across Canada + Declining investor confidence + Inverted bond yield curve. Put it all together and you get a rate war. And for a refreshing change, consumers aren’t the victims. The banks are settling for a smaller profit margin.
Continue reading “It’s war. Mortgage Rate Wars. You could win with Big Rate Cuts!”
Before I get into the topic of new home financing, I want to share some positive news! The Ontario housing market is definitely alive and well! I’m seeing new properties come to market and disappear within weeks or even days. Multiple offers are also a reality, once again. Watch for encouraging sales stats to be reported next month.
Buying a resale home
Buying resale is great because you can see what you’re getting and you can have it now (average closing is 45 to 90 days). You can also set and hold your mortgage rate now.
But, there are also some negatives to buying a resale. For one, you’ll never get 100% of what you want. Maybe the kitchen, master bedroom or backyard could be bigger or perhaps you’d prefer a different floorplan. The truth is, you’re buying someone else’s home that wasn’t designed for you.
But, hey, that’s life and you can’t have everything you want. At least, not yet… or maybe you can?
Construction financing as low as prime minus 0.80% – 3.15% today!
Continue reading “Finance Your New Construction Home at Prime Minus 0.80%!”
With warmer weather comes a renewed energy and hope for the coming months. It’s also the official start of the Spring housing market.
Are you considering buying a home? If so, here are a few things you should know before you head out house hunting.
Continue reading “Top 3 Things Homebuyers Need to Know this Spring”
Rate forecasting isn’t rocket science – it’s more common sense than you think! But, it requires a clear mind to make sense of all the rubbish that’s being published these days.
I’ve been forecasting for a while now that interest rates would start to come back down this year. Currently, interest rates are down by around 0.4% and will come down further.
WHY ARE RATES FALLING? Continue reading “Mortgage Rates have Dropped and Will Fall Further”
The incredible variable rate wars we’re seeing this month are about to come to a close! It would be a shame to miss out on these savings! And, while there is a possibility that they’ll extend into June, I wouldn’t risk it – deep savings like these don’t come around every day! In fact, I’ve never seen advertised variable rates this low!
If your mortgage is coming up for renewal soon – or, even if it’s not – it’s worth a call to your mortgage broker to discuss the possible savings. The math speaks for itself…
Continue reading “Record-Low Variable Rate Wars EXPIRE THURSDAY… Don’t miss out!”
In order to fully understand how to take advantage of record-low variable rates, it’s important to learn some mortgage history.
BMO came out swinging first a week ago with a variable rate of Prime minus 1.00%. Historically, when a BIG SIX BANK comes out with a huge price decrease, it’s only for a very short time – likely 2-3 weeks. But, during that time, they can gain massive volumes and satisfy their market share requirements from the average borrower.
With all the talk of interest rates going up, this is welcome news for borrowers. Last week, I wrote about Variable rates at Prime minus 1.09%. This week, the banks have caught on.
Continue reading “And the Variable Rate price wars begin… Here’s how you can benefit!”
Quoting rates isn’t straightforward anymore. Your final rate is based on your credit score, purchase price or home value (homes over $1 million purchased after Oct 17, 2016 have higher rates), the loan to value (mortgages under 65% LTV and above 80% LTV get best rates), location, job type and income confirmation documents.
That’s right… ALL these factors will determine your interest rate!
Today, there’s a great variable rate available at Prime minus 1.09%. That translates to 2.39%. This is a real rate… it’s not a bait-and-switch ad like so many rate-comparison sites are quoting these days.
Continue reading “Prime minus 1.09%… Yes, this is a record-low Variable Rate!”
Much has been written about last week’s Posted rate hikes by TD and RBC. Don’t panic! This is just their posted rate – it’s not the actual rate they give to clients.
I do, however, think we’ll see a minimal rate hike in the coming weeks due to five-year Government of Canada bond yields increasing slightly. Fixed rates are priced closely to bond yields.
Continue reading “TD & RBC raised the POSTED rate… but not their REAL rates”
Next Wednesday will be the first Bank of Canada meeting date to set the Target rate, which directly affects Bank Prime rate and Variable rate mortgages. It’s almost a certainty that the Bank of Canada Governor, Stephen Poloz, will raise the rates.
POSITIVE DATA MEANS HIGHER RATES
There’s been too much positive economic data lately. Low unemployment levels (5.7%, the lowest since the ’70s), higher spending by consumers, slightly higher inflation (2.1%), record level stock market. We’ve also seen some comments and posturing by the Bank of Canada Govr that suggests we should expect a 0.25% increase.
Bond yields have also been moving steadily upward. Yup, we should expect a rate hike. And depending on how the market reacts to this, we could possibly see another rate hike at the next Bank of Canada meeting on March 7th.
BUT WAIT, IS THIS THE END OF MORTGAGE RATES IN THE 3.00%’s?
Continue reading “Rates are going up… for now… is this the end of low rates?”
Last week, the Bank of Canada governor, Stephen Poloz, held the first of 8 scheduled meetings to set the Target Rate. This is the rate used to set the Bank Prime rate which currently sits at 3.00%. No surprise, no change in the rate. It has been the same since Sept 2010.
From 2011 to 2013, the previous Bank of Canada governor, Mark Carney, continually announced of a pending rate increase. But late last year, Poloz changed the tide when he announced it could be a few years before rates go up. One of the key drivers for rate hikes is inflation. The BoC target for inflation is between 1% and 3%. If inflation goes above 3%, we can expect rate hikes.
Inflation is not a concern. In fact, there are concerns about deflation as the current inflation rate sit at 1.2%. Some experts believe we could see the BoC rate drop. Great news for anyone in a Variable rate. We are also seeing the govt of Cda bond yields drop. Friday’s close was down to 1.59% for 5 yr bonds. Haven’t seen that level since June 2013. This means Fixed mortgage rates will probably go down further. Continue reading “Bank of Canada says no rate hikes, but possible rate drops!!”
For the past few years, the Bank of Canada has warned us about the imminent interest rate hikes. Reminds me of the boy that cried wolf. “Interest rates are going up… soon!… real soon…. really, really soon!!” But last week, the new Bank of Canada Governor, Stephen Poloz, surprised many experts when he said rates would remain low for quite a while.
This announcement prompted many advisors to jump on the Variable Rate bandwagon and start recommending Variable rate over Fixed rate. I agree… Variable rate is the obvious choice for most of us today. But I also noticed a familiar rule of thumb being quoted in the media. So I wanted to set the record straight. Continue reading “You heard it here first!… Rule of thumb for choosing Variable over Fixed.”
August real estate resale numbers are in…. and what a jump! Up 21% in the Greater Toronto Area and an incredible 52% in Vancouver. And here’s another interesting stat. The average home price in Toronto is $505,000. That’s a 5.5% increase from the previous month.
REAL ESTATE SALES DRIVEN BY HIGHER RATES..
But here are my thoughts on what caused the increased sales. I think it has more to do with the steady mortgage rate increases that we’ve seen since May. You see, most Lenders and Banks will offer rate holds of 120 days. So that means you could have got a 5 year fixed rate mortgage preapproval in May for under 3.00%…. Those record low Fixed rates definitely forced many homebuyers to buy for fear they could miss out on the low rates. Continue reading “Real estate sales up 21% and 52% due to end of low fixed rates.”
Only recently has 5 year fixed rate become a product worth considering when it comes to paying the least amount of interest on your mortgage. Studies prove that short term mortgage funds are the cheapest way to finance a house.. this includes Variable rate mortgages.
Historically, Variable rate and short term fixed rates have had lower rates than long term rates. And yet, the BIG SIX BANKS, the Federal govt, and several popular finance experts have preached 5 yr fixed. ‘You must take 5 year fixed so you know what your rate is.’ That’s a load of nonsense. It’s true, that over the past 2 years, 5 yr fixed did make more sense given that the spread between Variable and Fixed was less than my target of 1.00%. (I like to see a 1.00% spread between Variable and 5 yr fixed before recommending Variable). Continue reading “Choose short term money for long term gains.”
With fixed rates up around 0.60% over the last 4 weeks (currently at around 3.49%.. there are some lower rates but these come with conditions so we are using the more widely available rate) we must again take a look at Variable rates. Today’s best Variable rate product is sitting at around Prime less 0.40% … there’s even a few promotional Variables at Prime less 0.50% for qualified applicants. But for this article we will stick with Prime less 0.40%. That’s 2.60% today. We are almost at that 1.00% spread that I like to see.
Two years ago, the best Variable rate was at Prime less 0.75% with the option to lock into the BEST discounted fixed rate at any time (this option is important, don’t ever settle for a variable product that doesn’t have this clause). And 5 years ago, we had Variable rate products as low at Prime less 0.90%. Continue reading “Time to look at Variable Rates again.”
Today we saw 2 announcements…. For the first time ever, we saw a 5 yr fixed rate being offered for 2.99%. This is not a No Frills mortgage… so you don’t have to worry about minimal prepayment privileges, or restricted payout options, and no monkey business when it comes to penalty calculation…. You probably won’t see a lot of publicity about this because of the mainstream media was quick to promote the BMO NO FRILLS mortgage as the first 5 yr fixed mortgage under 3.00%….earlier this year. But I can tell you, it’s a significant milestone.
And we also saw the introduction of the lowest Variable rate mortgage in almost a year… Prime less 0.35%, or 2.65%. This isn’t one of those NO FRILLS Variable rate mortgages that is full of restrictions… you have all the regular options including being able to lock into the BEST discounted fixed rate at any time.
These 2 offers are very special… They don’t come with hidden clauses or back door penalties, or exit fees. These products are legit!
The driver behind the pricing is competition, the increased spread in profit margins and a slowing housing market.. The thirst to grow a business and keep the business on the books is going to see a lot of competition…. and the winners are us… the borrowers…
If you want more info on these rates or other mortgage related issues, call me anytime.
416 224 0114