CategoryMortgage Trends

Posted March 30, 20165 Comments Interest rates

Variable rate is out, Fixed rates are in…. But, which term…?

For more than a decade, I’ve been recommending Variable rate mortgages, as the product of choice. My clients have saved $thousands. It’s been a great 11 year run.. But now, the strategy has changed slightly. Read on, to see my newest recommendations..

QUICK VARIABLE RATE HISTORY.

First, you need to understand the history.. Variable rate had lots of pluses. It had a lower rate of interest, the penalty can never go over 3 months interest, and you have the option to lock into a Fixed rate at any time.

Being in a Variable meant paying lower rates. In fact, the difference, compared with Fixed rates, ranged between 1.00% and 3.00%. This translated to several $$thousand in less interest each year. Continue reading “Variable rate is out, Fixed rates are in…. But, which term…?”

Posted January 11, 20163 Comments Mortgage Rates

US Fed rate hike doesn’t mean Bank of Cda rate hike!

Last month, the US Fed Reserve Bank Chairperson, Janet Yellen, raised rates for the first time since 2006. Historically, Canada follows the US with rate movement.. However, times are changing…Don’t expect Canada to follow the US move anytime soon.

Divergence. That’s the new buzz-word. Bank of Cda Govr, Stephen Poloz said, “Usually you think of the Canadian economy following the U.S. economy fairly closely. This will be one of those places where it really doesn’t.” “But as a macro statement, there will a divergence there. We’re already seeing it, and so you should expect a divergence in policy too,” he said. Continue reading “US Fed rate hike doesn’t mean Bank of Cda rate hike!”

Posted November 24, 20154 Comments Interest rates

Mortgage rates went up…. but why? And will they continue to go up?

A month ago, I said Fixed mortgage rates probably hit the bottom. A week later, fixed mortgage rates started to go up… around 0.20% over the past 3 weeks. Variable rate mortgage pricing has gone from Prime less 0.65% to Prime less Prime less 0.40%.

Now, here’s the thing…. I don’t think rates will skyrocket over the next 6 or 12 months, like the pessimists would have you believe. I think mortgage rates hit the bottom….BUT, they probably won’t go up very quickly.

In fact, the forecast now is for the Bank of Canada rate to stay the same until 2017. This is just another example of how the world has become a smaller place. If someone sneezes in Germany, we catch a cold. With most of the global economies just getting by, there isn’t much reason for mortgage rates to go crazy. They should remain low.

The key driver for rates going up recently is nothing more than profit taking. Banks have had a great year… In case you didn’t know. That’s right.. we seem to forget that 2015 was one of the best years on record for real estate and mortgage volume… and house prices have never been higher. Funny how that seems to get lost in the media reports.

Look for Variable rate pricing to fall in the new year… Fixed rates could also come down slightly, but don’t count on them hitting the record lows that we saw this summer. Hey, that’s not to say rates are bad. We are still well under 3.00%. These are ridiculously low mortgage rates. Enjoy them while you can.

Your best interest is my only interest. I reply to all questions and I welcome your comments. Like this article? Share with a friend.

Steve Garganis 416 224 0114 steve@mortgagenow.ca

Posted November 10, 20152 Comments Consumer Debt

Mortgage cost today is $1380/mth for every $300k… and sharing high net worth secrets.

Fixed mortgage rates went up this week on the wholesale market. Only about a 0.10% increase… We are still way below 3.00% for 5 yr fixed rates. Hey, that’s pretty good! (watch for the media to blow it out of proportion soon.. they seem to love feeding on negativity).

Thought I’d share some quick numbers.. Did you know that a $300k mortgage will still carry for $1380/mth? And that’s with a 25 yr amortization. If we go to a 30 year amort, the payment drops to $1221/mth.

Let’s increase the mortgage to $400k.. payments are $1840/mth and $1628/mth for a 25 and 30 year amortization, respectively. Hey, these are still incredibly low mortgage rates. Anything under 4.00% should be considered a gift. (I’ll get into what Canada’s wealthy are doing in a few moments) Continue reading “Mortgage cost today is $1380/mth for every $300k… and sharing high net worth secrets.”

Posted November 5, 20152 Comments Interest rates

Trudeau sworn in as new PM, and bond yields jump leading to higher fixed mortgage rates!

Yesterday, our new Prime Minister gets sworn in. Justin Trudeau is Canada’s 23rd Prime Minister. Some interesting facts… Bond yields have gone up significantly in the last 2 weeks, since the election. Fixed rates are priced directly from the Govt of Cda Bond yields. If the yields go up, then fixed mortgage rates go up. If they go down, then fixed mortgage rates go down.

Since the election on Oct 19, the bond yields have made a steady climb upwards. Going from around 0.80% to 0.97% today.. Investors seem to think the Trudeau govt will keep it’s promise and spend our way to prosperity. The concern is that if the govt of Canada increases its borrowing, the borrowing costs will go up. Meaning it will cost the govt more, which in turn affects personal borrowing costs. That’s you and I.

Watch for fixed mortgage rates to climb over the next month or so. Right now, the increase is expected to be minimal…. but that could change.

I’ll be watching and reporting how this plays out. Let’s hope the campaign promise of increasing the deficit was one of those promises that doesn’t get honored. If you want to keep borrowing costs low, then you also want less govt, not more.

Your best interest is my only interest. I reply to all questions and I welcome your comments. Like this article? Share with a friend.

Steve Garganis 416 224 0114 steve@mortgagenow.ca