Yesterday, Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor, Stephen Poloz, left rates unchanged. This kept the bank prime rate at 3.45%.
This also, indirectly, affects fixed mortgage rates. Great news for anyone with a mortgage. Go ahead, it’s okay to feel good about paying a low interest rate on what’s probably the biggest debt of your life!
ARE ECONOMISTS RIGHT?
For months we’ve heard economists forecasting 2-4 BoC rate hikes for 2018. So far, we’ve had one increase – in January. Should we be expecting three more increases? Only time will tell, since the BoC raises its rate when inflation rises above the target inflation rate… currently the range is between 1% and 3%, and sits at an acceptable 2.10%. Some believe inflation has increased temporarily, in part, due to increased minimum wage.
Continue reading “Got a mortgage? Good news: Bank of Canada didn’t raise rates yesterday!”
On July 12th, for the first time in seven years, the Bank of Canada increased the overnight rate by .25%, withdrawing some of the stimulus that was needed after the oil price collapse and 2008 financial crisis. Variable rate mortgages and lines of credit will see higher rates and modest payment increases. Fixed-rate mortgage – which are based on the bond market – had already been trending slightly upward, although if you have a fixed mortgage, you aren’t affected until it’s time to renew. Keep in mind that this is a very small increase, and we’re still in an ultra-low rate environment and an incredibly stable market. We’ve also seen increases before to only see them decrease again. But rates have risen, so here are answers to the questions I’m getting:
Should I jump into the market now? Actually, my advice is always the same: buy when you are financially ready. Don’t jump the gun just because rates “may” go higher. But by all means, if you’re thinking about buying, I can arrange a pre-approval so you’re protected from rate increases while you shop around.
Should I lock in my variable rate mortgage ASAP?
Continue reading “Rates went up, so now what do you do?”
Happy 150th Canada! Mortgage rates are going up. Hooray! Ok, yes, I’m being sarcastic.
This isn’t the cheery message you wanna hear if you have a mortgage coming up for renewal soon. But, hold on. What does this really mean? It’s a great attention grabber. And now that you’re reading, let’s cut through the bull!
It’s true. Wholesale fixed mortgage rates have gone up.. around 0.15%. Yup, that’s it. Yet, reading all the media headlines would make you believe mortgage rates went up 1.00% or something like that!! This just isn’t the case. And Variable rates haven’t changed as of yet.. Mind you, we could see an increase of 0.25% on July 12.. That’s still putting most Variable rate borrowers at 2.25% and 2.40%.. That’s a ridiculously low rate.
Here’s what’s happening…We’ve seen the media take little snippets of the Bank of Canada Governor, Mr. Stephen Poloz’s comments and turn them into front page headlines. Great for headlines but short of full disclosure. Here’s a more complete picture. Continue reading “Mortgage rates going up a little.. for now. What should you do?”
Bank of Canada Senior Deputy governor, Carolyn Wilkins, made headlines this week when she hinted of pending rate hikes.
The reaction by investors was swift. Bond yields were up 20bps. Fixed mortgage rates are priced from Gov of Cda bond yields. Variable mortgage rates are priced from Bank of Canada rate. And the next Bank of Canada meeting is scheduled for July 12th, the fifth of eight scheduled meetings. Many are betting we could see a rate hike then.
DON’T PANIC…. RATES ARE STILL RIDICULOUSLY LOW… The media was quick to find ‘so-called’ experts to quote. I’ve seen some saying we should all lock in our variable rate mortgages into fixed rate products. And others say you should brace yourself for payment shock.
Here’s a reality check.. Variable rate mortgage are around 2.20% .. Some are higher, some are lower.. EVERY Canadian must qualify for a Variable rate, using the POSTED 5 year fixed bank rate. That rate has been at or near 4.64% for several years.
If rates go up, we can expect a slow gradual increase.. around 0.25% at at time. And here’s the thing..If you can qualify at 4.64%, what makes you think you can’t afford your mortgage at 2.45% or 2.70%??
The sky isn’t falling. Many Canadians are already paying more than they have to by increasing their regular payments to accelerate the amortization and retire their debt sooner. In fact, most of my clients are doing this because they can. Don’t believe everything you hear or read in the media… We are experiencing record low interest rates and yet, we’re made to feel like it’s a horrible time to have a mortgage.. Anyone else seeing something wrong with this?
By the way, I still like Variable rate mortgages today.
Your best interest is my only interest. I reply to all questions and I welcome your comments. Like this article? Share with a friend.
Steve Garganis 416 224 0114 firstname.lastname@example.org
Last month, the US Fed Reserve Bank Chairperson, Janet Yellen, raised rates for the first time since 2006. Historically, Canada follows the US with rate movement.. However, times are changing…Don’t expect Canada to follow the US move anytime soon.
Divergence. That’s the new buzz-word. Bank of Cda Govr, Stephen Poloz said, “Usually you think of the Canadian economy following the U.S. economy fairly closely. This will be one of those places where it really doesn’t.” “But as a macro statement, there will a divergence there. We’re already seeing it, and so you should expect a divergence in policy too,” he said. Continue reading “US Fed rate hike doesn’t mean Bank of Cda rate hike!”