Could 2018 be the year where the pessimists finally get their way? I hate to admit it, but this could be the year where buying a home may not be a good idea.
OK, just kidding!!!
But after years of seeing countless articles and posts about rising interest rates, housing affordability issues, mortgage stress tests disqualifying some people from being able to buy, higher personal debt levels, NAFTA economic fears and Donald Trump (ok, Trump has nothing to do with this, but you can’t write an article these days without blaming him, right?!), does it still make sense to buy a home?
Yes! There is positive news. You can still buy a home. And you can still qualify for a mortgage.
And renting should scare the life out of you as rents are hitting ridiculous levels. (I have a client in Owen Sound, Ontario looking to buy because renting a house is costing $1,700/month… in Owen Sound!!)
Here are some numbers for you to consider
Today, a household annual income of $70,000 will qualify you for a $300,000 mortgage. This will cost you between $1,278 and $1,520/month depending on product selection based on today’s rates.
Let’s look at Guelph, Ontario. A 1,500-square-foot townhouse will cost you over $2,000/month to rent. Or, you could buy that townhouse for $458k. And with 20% down, your mortgage will carry for between $1,560 and $1,856/month.
In Ontario, we have a few problems. There is this thing called rent control that limits how much a landlord can increase the annual rent. This has been between 1% and 2%, on average, during the last 25 years. And this has discouraged any purpose-built multi-unit residential rental buildings. Add in a lack of available land for development near major cities and you have a lack of supply coupled with high demand. The major supply of rentals has been private investors buying condos, townhouses and other homes for the purpose of renting.
The result has been predictable: Sky-high record rents for newer builds and lower rents for older properties. But don’t get too comfortable in older properties. Investors have been selling those lower rental income properties with tenants being asked to leave in favour of new homeowners buying to occupy.
And this pattern of high rents doesn’t seem to be improving!
There have been some headline-grabbing incidents with tenants complaining about losing their $1,200/month rental condos (when market rents are over $2,500/month) and not being able to find anything to rent even close to that price range.
Ask yourself this question: Do you want to be in control or controlled? Do you want to rely on a private owner who could choose to sell or even move in, which means you could be legally evicted at any time? Do you want to own something and build your own equity and net worth?
A $300,000 mortgage will be $210,000 after 10 years of regular minimum payments. By the way, the average Canadian pays their mortgage off in less than 17 years by taking advantage of accelerated and lump-sum payments. A mortgage broker will show you how to do this!
I talk about the affordability of homeownership a lot, because too many people hear doom and gloom in the media and shy away. It’s so important to understand that buying real estate is a steady long-term investment that you can personally enjoy.
Your best interest is my only interest. I reply to all questions and I welcome your comments. Like this article? Share with a friend.
Steve Garganis: 416-224-0114; firstname.lastname@example.org
As an industry insider, Steve will share info that the BANKS don't want you to know. Steve has appeared on TV's Global Morning News, CBC's "Our Toronto" and The Real Life TV show. He's also been quoted in several newspapers such as the Globe and Mail, The Toronto Star, The Vancouver Sun, The Star Phoenix, etc.