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CategoryMortgage Rates

Fixed mortgage rates down again!

We haven’t seen the bond market this low since November 2010.  The current 5 year Canadian Bond yield is 2.24%.  It’s only been below 2.00% a couple of times… Just after the 2008 U.S. mortgage crisis from December 2008 to January 2009 and late last year in October 2010.

Last year we saw the 5 year fixed mortgage rates hit an all time low of around 3.49%.  Today’s best 5 year fixed rate is hovering at around 3.79%….   Could be even be more room for fixed rates to drop….

Enjoy the low rates!

Bank of Canada leaves Key Rate unchanged

This morning marked the fourth of eight scheduled meetings for 2011 by the Bank of Canada.  No surprises, the BOC left the rate unchanged. This keeps the Bank Prime rate at 3.00% and keeps those Variable rate mortgages well under 3.00%.  Great news for borrowers.

In their press release, the BOC noted concerns about the high Canadian $dollar… increasing the BOC rate would probably mean an even higher $CAD, putting more pressure on Canada’s exports.   The  $CAD is currently $1.02US.  Still, the BOC is concerned about inflation and keeping inflation within the Target Zone of between 1.00% and 3.00% has always been one of the biggest factors that drive BOC policies.   “…inflation expectations remain well-anchored.”

The next BOC meeting is July 19… right now, it does not appear as though we will see any hikes until September or later…

Spring market means lower mortgage rates..and some more creative financing.

A funny thing happened on our way to higher interest rates….  They did an about face and went down.

Fixed Rates

The bond market drives fixed rates… and the 5 year Govt of Canada bond market has come down around 50bps in the last month…  So far, we have seen lenders reduce fixed rates by around 30bps… We are seeing 5 yr fixed rates in the 3.89% from some better lenders… and we could see a few more drops.

But we are also seeing some very interesting programs for cashback deals that are worth a look at….there is a 5 year fixed rate at 4.29% with a 2% cashback.. this one is worth looking at as it puts some cash in your pocket and gives you a good rate…

Variable Rates

Fixed rates are good for those that don’t want to worry about rates going up or down and don’t mind paying a little more for the security of fixed payment.  But we can’t ignore the lower variable rate mortgages… still hovering around 2.25%…

Earlier this year, most Economists and Experts believed the Bank of Canada was going to raise the rate at their next regular meeting on May 31st.. but with weak economic data coming out of the U.S., Europe and even Canada, most now believe the Bank of Canada won’t move until September or even next year in January.

Historically, Variable rate has outperformed Fixed rates…the product choice depends your risk tolerance, goals and objectives….

NDP polls up and Variable rate mortgages more costly… coincidence?

This week, we saw two major mortgage lenders raise their Variable rate pricing from Prime less 0.75% to Prime less 0.65% and Prime less 0.50%…

This is really quite unexpected…. We cannot ignore what is happening…  The explanation given for the prices changes is ‘profitability concerns’.  But the cost of Variable Rate funds hasn’t really changed.  We believe there are a few other possible explanations. 

First, we are seeing more borrowers flock to Variable rate mortgages again…. With a 2.20% difference between a 5 year fixed rate and a Variable rate, it’s been much easier to choose to Variable.  Banks make more money on 5 year fixed rate mortgages and would rather push you into these products….     And yet another reason is the possible gains in the recent polls by the NDP.

According to this article in the Globe and Mail, we should brace ourselves for more costly mortgages if the NDP keeps moving in the polls.  Here’s a quote from the article that says it well, “This interest rate premium on social democratic governments is unfair and tragic. But dismissing it is unrealistic.”


TD and RBC are first to raise fixed rates…

RBC and TD Canada Trust are raising fixed mortgage rates from 20bps on shorter terms, to 35bps for longer terms…. The new posted 5 year fixed rate is 5.69%…

The so-called ‘special fixed rate’ advertised by Retail Banks is now 4.44% at TD and 4.54% at RBC.… (Of course, Mortgage Brokers have access to even lower rates…)

Three weeks ago, Banks lowered their fixed rates after the Bond market dropped due to the Mid-east turmoil and the Japan Tsunami.   Bond yields have gone up from 2.45% on March 16 to 2.77% today.    That 32bps increase has prompted the Banks to raise rates.   Fixed mortgage rates are affected by Bond Yields.

Variable rates remain unchanged.   Not sure what’s best for you?  Speak with a qualified Mortgage Broker to get some direction.